We’ve hit the Ally 400, just past the halfway point of the NASCAR season. They head back to Nashville Superspeedway for this 400-mile event and put on some of the best paint schemes of the year. Last year’s race saw Ross Chastain in the #1 car pick up his first win of the season. In 2022, Chase Elliott took home the guitar in the city of music. It will be another intense race with plenty of cars in the mix. It’s also the final week of the Denny Hamlin Bracket Challenge, that sees Chase Elliott vs Tyler Reddick in the finals. If you have either of those cars in your final two, congratulations. Chris and I’s brackets were crushed a long time ago.
It is our job to come to the table and bring you some drivers to put into your fantasy lineups, target in your pools, or throw some money on if you’re into that kind of thing. So let’s go right into it and give you our weekly picks for this weekend’s Ally 400!
Chris’s Picks: #9 Chase Elliott (+800) & #17 Chris Buescher (+2500)
Embed from Getty ImagesSo, this is the exact type of race where Chase Elliott could grab win number two of the season. Lady Luck and the nine gang seem to have a good working relationship rolling right now. He kept his top-twenty finish streak alive after being caught up in someone else’s misfortune. Looking at his stat side of things I understand why the odds are high. In his three trips to “Nash-Vegas,” his worst finish came back in the inaugural trip in 2021. Since then he won in 2022 and finished fourth last year. Chase needs more wins to contend down the road in the playoffs I think and this would be a solid choice this week. Keep your money safe and roll with Chase.
These odds are a little lower than I’m used to but I have a solid feeling about the seventeen team and driver this weekend. He grabbed another top-five finish last weekend at New Hampshire and he’s been relatively solid on tracks that race similar to Nashville. The RFK cars have shown speed this season. I mean Brad has one win, and Chris should probably have at least one. This is another really good chance for Chris to lock himself into the playoffs for a second straight season. With that being said though if he doesn’t win this week, he should at the very least be contending for a top five I feel.
Kaleb’s Picks: #24 William Byron (+1000) & #45 Tyler Reddick (+1000)
Embed from Getty ImagesA pair of +1000 odds here, and a weird history at this track. Starting with the #24 car, at Nashville, he finished P3 in 2021, and P6 in 2023. In 2022 after starting P13 he dropped to P35. But I like a car that’s usually this fast with so low odds for several reasons. For one, Byron’s been one of the top drivers in all of NASCAR for the past two seasons, he’s just on a weird streak right now. He’s due for a win and Nashville can be that for this HMS car. He also had a great points day here in 2023 with a P3 and P4 in the first two stages. Byron at +1000 is a STEAL and I’d pounce on that if you have something extra lying around.
As for Tyler Reddick, he was a very fast car before suffering issues on pit road and coming home with just P30 after winning the first stage. But the #45 is usually a fast car, and he’s been on the upswing as of late. In four of the last five races, he’s finished P8 or better. Two P4s at Gateway and Charlotte. I think he’s on the comeback and 23XI is due for a good day. With the bad days from Bubba Wallace, Reddick has picked up the slack as of late and will look to get his second win of the year here at the Ally 400.
Chris’s Fade: #19 Martin Truex Jr (+750)
Embed from Getty ImagesOkay, so I know he finished second last year. However, a whole lot has changed since the Cup Series was last in Nashville for a race. Martin grabbed a top-ten finish last weekend to snap a five-week-long streak of not even sniffing the top ten. He just announced his retirement, and he is still one of the most consistent drivers in the series but I don’t like how this team’s relationship with Lady Luck has been as of late. Like my compadre below I’m going to roll with safer options. Now with all that being said will I be eating these words next week? Who knows, but that’s the fun in all of it, right?
Kaleb’s Fade: #22 Joey Logano (+1800)
Embed from Getty ImagesWhen you look at Logano’s races at Nashville Superspeedway, he looks like a great choice at +1800. In three races his lowest position is P19. But I just haven’t seen it from this #22 car much this season. North Wilkesboro was a fun win and surely a morale booster for the team, but that’s a unique track. Then it was the last time I faded him at Richmond where he finished P2. Through 18 races he has just five top-ten finishes. Sure, two of them coming in the last month. But I don’t see him as a viable bet to win this week. I’ll stay clear of the #22 here in Nashville this weekend.
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