Welcome
Welcome all, to the first edition of the BellyUp Sports Dollar Parlay Club. Here we flip the fortunes of those with betting streaks so cold even the Green Bay cheeseheads can’t handle it. With sports betting gaining immense popularity, sports fans nationwide are trying to get some skin in the game. However, I’ve heard the problems sport fans new to betting have. They don’t know what to bet on, aren’t willing to risk large amounts, or the payouts aren’t worth the risk.
What We’re Doing
Well here at the dollar parlay club, we are erasing those concerns. Think of us as a cocoon that swaddles your spare change up, until it emerges into a butterfly of cash. The purpose of this club is to provide you with a bet that only requires you risk one dollar for the chance at over $100. Now ask yourself, if you saw a dollar laying on the ground, would you even pick it up? Maybe, maybe not (especially if you’ve seen enough of those poop dollar prank videos.) But, the point is that you would question the decision. You’ll spend more than a dollar just to get a quarter scoop of half-browned guacamole on your burrito bowl. So why not spend one on NFL Sunday. You’ll have a chance at returning your investment at a minimum 10,000 percent profit. Trust me the logic checks out, I checked.
So, by now you must be wondering what kind of brilliant strategy does this guy have up his sleeve? He’s so confident that he can turn one dollar into one-hundred dollars? Well, I’m Ezekiel Elliott’ing this bad boy. Sleeveless crop top on so you know there’s nothing up my sleeves, it’s all from the gut. However, the simple fact is that if you add up the number of touchdowns each team in the NFL has averaged per week during the 2020 NFL season, you will see that there are just under 94 touchdowns per week. That means 94 chances to bet on a player to score a touchdown and win.
Now there will always be a few touchdowns per week scored by players that you would never put money on. But, our goal at the Dollar Parlay Club is to use a fantasy football-style approach to predict touchdown scorers. We are taking similar factors into consideration for picking touchdown scorers that you would when setting a fantasy lineup. Factors such as player matchups, key injuries, and previous-game production. At the end of the day, when that whistle is blown, chaos ensues. What we are doing is trying to eliminate the unknown so we get the best shot at hitting it big. So let’s go ahead and build NFL Week 10’s dollar parlay.
Robert Woods
Look, I could try to sell you that I love Robert Woods getting into end zone this week because baby genius Sean McVay orchestrates a very dynamic and complex offense. And he has had two weeks to prepare for this game with a divisional rival in what many are calling the most competitive division in football. I could also try to sell you I love this pick because Robert Woods is coming off of a monster game before the bye week against a stingy Dolphins defense where he tallied 94 all-purpose yards, a rushing touchdown, and a receiving touchdown.
However, let’s be honest, I believe Woods is getting in the end zone because he is matched up with Seattle. In Week 9 they allowed the Buffalo receivers to rack up 351 yards on them. That was only the third highest total they’ve allowed in 2020. They have given up the most fantasy points, targets, receptions, and receiving yards to wide receivers this season. And that’s in a league with the NFC East. They have also allowed the third most touchdown receptions this year to receivers. Also, the other elite Rams’ receiver, Cooper Kupp, is entering this game as questionable with an oblique injury. Therefore, McVay’s game plan should lean to Woods grabbing “6” on Sunday. With the line on a Woods touchdown at +140 via Draftkings Sportsbook, this may be the play of the week.
James Robinson
First off, I will address the elephant in the room. Yes, I am telling you to put money on a Jacksonville Jaguar succeeding, and during a road game no less. However the fact is that Green Bay’s rushing defense is the worst in the NFL. I mean we saw what Dalvin Cook did to them in Week 8. They are allowing a league high 59.1 receiving yards to opposing running backs as well as a shameful 6.3% touchdown rate on all opposing running back carries.
Robinson has emerged as a solid RB1 this season, while tallying at least one touchdown in his last 3 games. Dual-threat Robinson receives the majority of the touches in this Jacksonville offense. With a Rookie quarterback in Jake Luton under center, it makes too much sense that Doug Marrone’s game plan will be to expose a porous run defense with his most versatile weapon while limiting throws from his inexperienced quarterback. Expect a big game from Robinson with at least one touchdown in a loss to the Packers. The Draftkings Sportsbook odds of James Robinson anytime touchdown scorer currently sits at +115.
Christian Kirk
This one here is where the bread gets baked or burnt. Christian Kirk has not gotten the love he deserves this season. Mostly due to the fact that he’s living in the shadows of DeAndre Hopkins and Kyler Murray. But the truth is, Christian Kirk is flat out balling as of late. His production has basically increased every week of this season, and he has now found the painted pastures of the end zone in three consecutive games, and four of the last five. The guy is an absolute scoring machine.
The key here is that DeAndre Hopkins is so dangerous that defenses are always forced to shade coverage his way. In addition, Kyler Murray’s speed, agility, and small stature may make him the toughest tackle in the league. Suddenly it ‘s clear the opposition doesn’t have much of a choice but to leave Christian Kirk in single coverage and hope his track speed was just a myth. Unfortunately for them, it’s no myth, Kirk’s vertical speed is lethal. Finally, Arizona plays the Buffalo defense, who is currently allowing the highest catch rate on deep passes in the NFL. With Tre’Davious White shadowing Hopkins, expect Arizona’s number 13 to secure “6” again in Week 10. The Draftkings Sportsbook odds of Christian Kirk anytime touchdown scorer currently sits at +150.
Jalen Reagor
Welcome to the NFC East. Last I checked these still count as football games. (I mean one of the teams in the division is the Football Team.) Therefore, we can still bet on things to happen here, even if we don’t want to watch. The Eagles are finally starting to bring back a few of their injured pieces and are coming off of a bye week, meaning they got two weeks to prepare for a pretty bad Giants football team. The beauty about playing in such a terrible division is that a Week 10 game between two teams with losing records have to play with playoff-like intensity, so I like the division-leading Eagles with an extra week of rest to win this game in decisive fashion.
But that’s not what we’re betting on here. We’re laying the cash down on Reagor finding pay dirt this weekend. And that is because of a couple factors. First off, the Giants defense has not been good this year, allowing 23.7 PPG without playing many impressive offenses. Now the Eagles offense hasn’t been spectacular this year either, but they have been banged up badly for yet another season. However, one piece they have been missing is rookie first-round draft pick, Jalen Reagor. On a team deprived of offensive weapons, he is a very valuable piece to have return to the roster.
Reagor returned to the roster in Week 8 against Dallas and managed to find the end zone in his first game back from injury. With two weeks to game plan for the Giants, I expect Doug Pederson has developed more ways to get his young speedster the ball and into the end zone. In addition, one of the lone bright spots for the Giants this year has been the emergence of CB James Bradberry whom they acquired from Carolina this past offseason. Bradberry has been locking up opposing receivers while the rest of his defensive unit struggles. Well, emerging Philadelphia star WR Travis Fulgham will almost certainly bear the burden of Bradberry’s lockdown efforts, leaving Reagor with favorable matchups to get six points on Sunday. The Draftkings Sportsbook line for a Jalen Reagor anytime touchdown bet this weekend currently sits at +260, which is a fantastic value given the matchup.
Brandin Cooks
The biggest contributing factor to picking Brandin Cooks to score a touchdown here is the fact that the Texans starting running back David Johnson has been ruled out of Sunday’s game at the Cleveland Browns. The backup in place is Duke Johnson, who has primarily been a receiving back throughout his NFL career. Since, the Texans do not have much depth at running back, I expect Duke Johnson will get a vast majority of the snaps, which likely means interim Head Coach Romeo Crennel will lean heavily on the passing game this weekend, which is never a bad idea with Deshaun Watson as your quarterback.
So why choose Brandin Cooks to find the end zone out of all the Texans? Cooks seems to be emerging as Deshaun Watson’s favorite target, as he has received at least nine targets in the last four games while scoring a touchdown in three of them. Also, his teammate Will Fuller is currently on a six-game touchdown streak. While instinct would tell you to ride that production, this is where the gut feeling comes in. At some point you have to figure that defenses will realize Fuller is scoring every week and will force the ball elsewhere. I believe the Browns will be the ones to break the streak. However, their defense has still been bad against receivers, so Cooks finds the end zone. With the Brandin Cooks anytime touchdown scorer line sitting at +165 on Draftkings Sportsbook, ride this bet all the way to the bank.
Winning Time
Now that we have found the best picks for an anytime touchdown scorer bet during NFL Week 10, it’s time to place those bets into a 5-leg parlay and bring home the big bucks. When plugging anytime touchdown scorer bets on Robert Woods, James Robinson, Christian Kirk, Jalen Reagor, and Brandin Cooks into a 5-leg parlay bet, the odds come out at +12207. This means if you place your singular dollar on this bet, you’re playing for a prize of $123.07. This well exceeds our goal of $100 prize for the week, so think of it as my little extra gift to you for joining the first week of BellyUp Sports Dollar Parlay Club.
And look, the best case scenario has you walking into next week over $100 richer, the worst case scenario is you buy the regular bananas this week instead of the organic ones to cut your losses. Either way, I promise having this bet on the line will make watching Sunday football much more exciting for you. Good luck!
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