Scouting Notes
- While not possessing elite burst, Addison can stop on a dime and change-direction with ease.
- Showed the ability to catch under duress at times, but his contested catch rate is bad, which is curious.
- As smooth and natural as they come, Jordan Addison is a born receiver.
- Very savvy as a runner after the catch, but only in open space or one-on-ones. He can’t successfully weave or slip through traffic.
- Physical and handsy corners gave him big issues immediately off the line, and afterward when trying to separate. Having a blueprint to stop you usually hinders professional success.
- Despite being unstoppable in 2021 en route to earning the Biletnikoff Award, his stats were very mediocre in 2022. It becomes even odder when realizing that he played with one of the most talented Quarterbacks in the FBS in Caleb Williams.
- Too much of his production is on screens or sweeps, not enough true downfield success in 2022.
- Didn’t “go get it” enough. Addison gave up on passes too early too often.
- Wasn’t enough of a separator after the initial route break, occasionally even letting Corners catch up to him.
Short Summary
Jordan Addison, from a pure talent perspective, is easily one of the most talented Receivers in College Football. Throw this man the ball and he will make plays. That’s what Kenny Pickett decided to do in 2021, and Addison subsequently became the most prolific Wide Receiver in the country, winning the esteemed Biletnikoff award.
Unfortunately, his prospect case isn’t as simple as that. Jordan Addison is severely undersized, and it showed on tape. Physical Corners gave him fits, and he wasn’t dominant at the catch point of contested targets. He also experienced regression from his sophomore to junior year, which is especially surprising considering the massive Quarterback upgrade.
There are lots of questions and concerns with Jordan Addison. Many will bring up DeVonta Smith, but his play style is very different from Addison’s. Overall, I wouldn’t be surprised if Addison bursts onto the scene in the NFL, and has a great career. I also wouldn’t be surprised if he never gets any starting traction. I am betting closer to the optimistic side, but the concerns can’t be ignored.
Scouting Card Key
- Age refers to the age of the player come draft night, rounded to the nearest half-age.
- Percentage numbers in the Player Info and Combine Stats sections – This refers to the percentile that number belongs to among all players at his position, going back nearly a decade.
- GP – Games Played
- Tgts – Targets
- Drops and Drop Rate – The percentiles of these stats are inverse; the higher the drop rate, the lower the percentile.
- YAC/Rec – Yards After Catch per Reception
- CTT – Targets deemed as contested by PFF Graders and Scouts.
- CTC% – Contested catch rate, or the percentage of the aforementioned targets that were caught
- Y/RR – This is the number of yards the player accumulated for every route he ran. This stat was found to highly correlate to NFL success. It is, in other words, a measure often a player is targeted when they are running a route, along with how much that player gained with each target.
- First Downs – While this one is pretty intuitive, I don’t think it is appreciated enough. This stat shows pretty clearly how often your team relied on you in high-leverage situations. There are first downs accrued in low-leverage situations, but in general, the players who get the most first downs, are the ones most relied on by their team to get first downs.
- Line-Wide% and Line-Slt% – How often a player lined up as the Wide Receiver, and how often as the Slot Receiver, respectively.
Credit
Advanced stats – pff.com
Scouting card template / idea – Jordan Pun @Texans_Thoughts
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